Scraps from various sources and my own writings on Generative AI, AGI, Digital, Disruption, Agile, Scrum, Kanban, Scaled Agile, XP, TDD, FDD, DevOps, Design Thinking, etc.
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Thursday, January 17, 2019
Tuesday, January 15, 2019
Future Backwards
Courtesy: Andrew Rook, Cognitive-edge.com
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The Future, Backwards method was created to aid in widening the range of perspectives a group of people can take on understanding their past and the possibilities of their future.
Typical Uses
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- As an alternative to traditional strategic/scenario planning which place excessive emphasis on ideal future states.
- To embed lessons from organisation’s past in decision making
- To aid in conflict resolution between different groups with opposing views
How To
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- Divide participants into groups. 6-10 people per group.
- Time box
- Start with current state ("Here" below). Within 5 mins ask the teams to write as much about the current state as possible. (One per post it note)
- When time box is up, have the group write about the most significant recent event preceding the current state. [this forms the History, backbone).
- Now ask them to write the Good and the Bad (Improvements) currently.
- Follow it up with the Good and the Bad of the future. The "bad" of future is risk management.
Narrative Paradigm
My personal disposition towards human narratives has been this. [Never heard of Walter Fisher until today.] 
Walter Fisher's Narrative Paradigm
Best examples of selective narrative paradigm as a selective reality is Media.
- Every human experience is a narrative, a story to be told later.
- You see / view, remember things selectively based on your conditioning, underlying belief system, and your prejudices. And when you recall them from memory you apply the same paradigm to weave a shape out of it.
- You are perceived by how beautifully you are able to narrate this to others - what ingredients it has, and how impactful it is and can connect with the audience / listener.
- Different people looking at / experiencing the same experience will narrate it differently - Rashomon Effect - each a Truth on its own.
Walter Fisher's Narrative Paradigm
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- Everything we do can be laid out as a story.
- Humans are essentially story tellers.
- What we do and how we think is swayed by history, biography, culture, character.
- Rationality is determined by --
- a. Narrative probability: coherence of narrative
- b. Narrative fidelity: whether the story rings true with what we already know to be true.
- We continually choose stories that we keep company with. And these stories are constantly changing.
- Narratives are selective realities. We choose what we want to believe (influenced by ext factors).
Best examples of selective narrative paradigm as a selective reality is Media.
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